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Hurricane forecast for Florida: Jose, Idalia, Franklin. What's next? – Daytona Beach News-Journal

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Hurricane Idalia has barely left Florida behind but some are already wondering if another hurricane is on its way.
While the tropics are active — with the National Hurricane Center monitoring five systems in the Atlantic as of 11 a.m. Aug. 31 — there is nothing heading toward Florida … at this time.
By 2 p.m., a sixth system showed up in the eastern Atlantic on the NHC’s tropical outlook map.
Here’s what’s out there and what to expect.
Tropical Storm Jose developed in the central Atlantic Thursday.
Jose is moving toward the north near 7 mph and is expected to move even faster during the next day or so before being absorbed by Hurricane Franklin Friday.
Idalia is moving toward the east near 20 mph and is expected to move away from the coast of North Carolina later today and tonight, and approach Bermuda over the weekend.
Idalia became a post-tropical cyclone as of the National Hurricane Center’s 5 p.m. advisory, but it is expected to make a transition back to a tropical storm Saturday.
An approaching trough is expected to turn Idalia to the northeast by early next week.
There is a chance that Idalia could be pulled toward Cape Cod, Massachusetts, later next week, according to AccuWeather. Its path “may be an erratic one” into the first week or two of September.
Some spaghetti models Tuesday were showing a distinct curve back toward Florida, with a few even predicting a second strike along the state’s east coast.
The latest forecast path Thursday calls for Idalia to move east, staying over the Atlantic and making a turn toward the northeast by Saturday.
Hurricane Franklin is moving toward the northeast, away from Florida and the U.S. It’s expected to weaken into a tropical storm late Saturday.
Invest 94L west of the coast of Africa does have a high chance of becoming the season’s next tropical depression sometime within the next couple of days, according to the National Hurricane Center.
“Invest 94L has the potential to generate about 2-3 ACE units if it forms. However, it is forecast to track northwestward away from Cabo Verde, moving over cooler waters, limiting its potential to generatelarge levels of ACE,” said Colorado State University forecasters.
Glossary of hurricane terms:What is ACE? How about SAL? A WeatherTiger hurricane glossary, July Florida forecast
Colorado State University forecasters are predicting a 70% chance for an above-normal tropical cyclone activity between Aug. 31 and Sept. 13.
“Global models are quite bullish on TC (tropical cyclone) formation in about one week in the eastern/central Atlantic Main Development Region, and this system has a relatively robust signal of intensifying significantly after formation,” the CSU report said.
The Main Development Region is the north Atlantic Ocean bounded between 10-20N and 20-60W, according to the University of Miami. It’s where about 79% of all major hurricanes develop from African easterly waves.
We are in the middle of the busiest portion of hurricane season.
The Atlantic season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30, and most storms for between August and October. Sept. 10 marks the peak of the season.
The primary threat formation area for major hurricanes in early- to mid-September is in the eastern and central tropical Atlantic, according to CSU forecasters.
Storms can and have spun up in the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico from Sept. 1 through Sept. 10.
Fewer storms are born in the Caribbean Sea, according to NOAA historical records.
Remember, tropical forecasts can and do change rapidly so it’s best to always be prepared.
The second of two 14-day sales tax holidays to help residents purchase hurricane supplies ends Sept. 8.
Save on emergency supplies, pet items and even cleaning supplies ranging from paper towels and laundry detergent to hand sanitizer and trash bags.

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